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aud usd faces pressure amid trade tensions and potential rate cuts

AUD/USD fell to 0.6210 (-1.64%) amid trade tensions and expectations of RBA rate cuts starting in February, following President Trump's unexpected 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. China's measured response may mitigate immediate impacts, but ongoing trade war concerns and risk aversion are likely to pressure the Australian dollar further. A failure to rebound above 0.6200 could lead to a test of the critical 0.6000 level.

us stocks decline as new tariffs spark global trade tensions

US stocks ended a volatile week negatively amid tariff announcements, with President Trump imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, and a 10% tariff on China. In retaliation, Canada plans 25% counter-tariffs on $155 billion of US goods, while Mexico and China are also preparing responses. The situation may lead to a contraction in global trade and increased inflation, impacting equities but potentially benefiting the US dollar and gold.

us tariff hikes on canada mexico and china to impact gdp growth

US President Donald Trump has announced a 25% tariff increase on imports from Canada and Mexico, alongside a 10% hike on Chinese imports. UBS estimates this could reduce US GDP growth by approximately 0.8 percentage points, while maintaining a 4% GDP growth forecast for China through 2025, despite potential future tariffs.

trade tensions escalate as us implements new tariffs on mexico canada and china

Markets brace for renewed volatility as President Trump implements tariffs of 25% on imports from Mexico and Canada, and 10% on China, prompting immediate retaliatory measures. The potential for a prolonged trade war raises recession risks for Canada and Mexico, while US equities may face correction territory amid economic data releases. The US dollar is expected to strengthen, with gold remaining a hedge against geopolitical tensions.

euro faces pressure as european central bank signals dovish rate cuts

The European Central Bank cut rates by 25 basis points, maintaining a dovish stance amid a challenging growth outlook. Despite a media leak suggesting a potential shift in language regarding interest rates, the overall communication remains too dovish to alter expectations. EUR/USD may drop below 1.030 if tariffs are imposed on Canada and Mexico, driven by USD strength and heightened tariff risks.

hsbc to exit mergers and acquisitions business in western markets

HSBC Holdings PLC plans to exit its mergers and acquisitions and some equities businesses in Europe and the Americas to focus on the more profitable Asian market. CEO Michael Roberts emphasized a shift to a financing-led model, while the bank continues its global debt capital markets operations. This restructuring, led by CEO Georges Elhedery, aims to streamline operations and reduce costs, including potential cuts to retail operations outside the U.K. and Hong Kong.

aud usd recovery stalls as market awaits crucial q4 cpi data

AUD/USD ended last week at 0.6314, marking a 2% gain, but faced pressure from weak Chinese PMI data and concerns over a new AI model from China. The focus now shifts to Australia's Q4 CPI release, with expectations of a 0.2% rise in headline inflation, potentially prompting the RBA to cut interest rates in February.

us trade tensions escalate as higher tariffs loom for 2025

Investors should prepare for increased US tariffs, as the president has threatened significant rates on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, potentially raising the effective tariff on Chinese goods to 30%. While aggressive measures could risk inflation and market stability, a moderate approach is expected to sustain the equity rally, with an anticipated 8% gain for the S&P 500 in 2025.

us trade policy faces aggressive tariffs and potential global retaliation

UBS forecasts an aggressive US trade policy as the most likely scenario, predicting a 30% effective tariff on China and retaliatory measures from Beijing. The bank anticipates solid US economic growth despite trade tensions, with equities expected to rise 8% this year and a decline in Treasury yields by 2025.

markets react to trump trade policies as dollar loses ground

Equity and credit markets rallied following President Trump's trade announcements, with the US dollar losing favor as the CAD and MXN strengthened despite looming tariffs. The yield curve steepened, and Brent crude prices fell after Trump aimed to lower oil costs to combat inflation. Meanwhile, the Fed is expected to maintain interest rates, with solid demand for bonds evident across various markets.
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